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HomeTop Stories3 Huge Takeaways For BJP And The Opposition From By-Election Outcomes

3 Huge Takeaways For BJP And The Opposition From By-Election Outcomes


It’s at all times dangerous to learn an excessive amount of into by-election outcomes of any sort, be it meeting or parliamentary. It’s inconceivable to inform which manner the political wind is blowing based mostly on a couple of seats scattered throughout states. However an estimate can at all times be made at a macro stage. Just a few pointers may be underlined about outcomes of the just-concluded meeting by-elections in seven seats for six states. The BJP has gained 4 seats. The TRS, RJD and Shiv Sena have gained one every. The Congress has drawn a clean. The outcomes clearly point out the next:

One, the BJP’s election machine remains to be going robust. The BJP has not solely retained its seats in Bihar, in UP and in Odisha, but in addition snatched one in Haryana. In Bihar, after the breakup of the BJP and JD(U), this was the primary election of what quantities to as BJP versus the remaining. The Nitish Authorities is now supported by seven events together with the formidable RJD. It’s true that the BJP had gained this seat final time with greater than 35,000 votes, besides, its victory is necessary due the modified alliances. There’s one more reason for the RJD to fret. Asaduddin Owaisi’s candidate, Abdul Salam, was additionally within the fray and received 12,214 votes. With out him, the Muslims would have as a bloc voted for the RJD which suggests it will have taken the seat. So Owaisi can create issues for the Nitish-RJD alliance not solely in Muslim-dominated seats but in addition the place victory is set by a skinny margin. Owaisi could have the flexibility to price the ruling alliance a couple of seats.

In Odisha, the BJP has been attempting to emerge as a severe challenger to Naveen Patnaik who has been profitable meeting elections since 1998. His get together, the BJD was anticipated to win the Dhampur by-election however it didn’t, regardless of Naveen Patnaik campaigning for the seat. Maybe the sympathy issue created the BJP win because the seat was vacant as a result of loss of life of the BJP MLA; his son was given the ticket by the BJP.

One can not learn an excessive amount of into the victory of the BJP candidate in Adampur in Haryana because the seat has been with former Haryana Chief Minister Bhajan Lal’s household since 1968. This time, Bhajan Lal’s grandson Bhavya Bishnoi was the BJP’s candidate. His father Kuldeep Bishnoi not too long ago defected to the BJP from the Congress and the seat was vacant resulting from his resignation.

However the BJP has given a transparent warning to the TRS in Telangana. Though the BJP candidate, Komatireddy Rajagopal Reddy, misplaced the election in Munugode, the margin was slender Rajagopal Reddy was a Congress MLA who had defected to the BJP. The Congress on this constituency couldn’t save its deposit. The BJP has been leaving no stone unturned in Telangana to switch the Congress as the principle Opposition get together. After Karnataka, the BJP has sensed that it might probably change the Congress in Telangana and emerge as a robust power. The TRS knew {that a} victory in Munugode would enable the BJP to assert that the TRS is shedding its grip on the state. Subsequently, the TRS marshalled all its assets and deputed greater than a dozen ministers and greater than 50 MLAs within the constituency.

Two, there’s a lesson for the Opposition that it can not take voters without any consideration. The BJP beneath Modi is at all times in election mode, and it fights each election with a gladiatorial intuition. So Nitish-Tejashwi ought to realise that their mixed may not be sufficient in 2024 parliamentary elections, a reality which many political analysts have been underlining. The BJP will put up a tricky battle.

Three, the outcomes present that the Congress has not learnt any lesson. Its pathetic present continues. Adampur and Munugode have been held by the Congress, however it misplaced each. Munugode must be extra worrisome as Rahul Gandhi’s ‘Bharat Jodo Yatra’ handed by Telangana, and attracted a big crowd. Does it imply that with out follow-up motion, the Yatra isn’t any assure for reanimating the Congress?

(Ashutosh is writer of ‘Hindu Rashtra’ and Editor, satyahindi.com.)

Disclaimer: These are the private opinions of the writer.

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